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Apr 17 - Morning Comments

Grains climbed higher overnight with soybeans once again leading the charge for its 4th consecutive day of gains. In the night trade, front month May soybean futures were up 7 cents a bushel while wheat posted a 3 cent advance. Corn followed with a 1 cent gain.

Soybeans continue to be fueled by tight supplies in the US where strong exports and crush have cut into available supplies. This week's sales showed only 19,000 MT of old-crop for the week, but the total commitments for the year still far exceed USDA's projections. Total export commitments for old-crop stand at 44.6 MMT versus USDA's projection of 43.0 MMT to be shipped for the entire year.

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In corn, weather conditions look fairly good for planting. The next few days look fairly dry across the Midwest, although a system is expected from Sunday into Monday. After that, the southern half of the Midwest through the Delta should be fairly dry in the 6-10 period. The 11-15 day, the last five days of April, looks dry across most of the central U.S. as well. Weekly ethanol production released on Wednesday by EIA showed strong levels at 939,000 barrels per day, up 45,000 from last week and the highest weekly total since December.

For wheat, weather continues to be a factor in the southern Plains. There might be some rain tomorrow, and then a better chance this weekend. But most areas are expected to see at most 0.5 inch of moisture, not enough to dramatically improve the situation. Looking ahead in the 6-10 and 11-15 outlook the region looks fairly dry across those areas

WEEKLY EXPORT SALES (in thousand metric tons)

  OC Actual OC Expected NC Actual NC Expected
Corn 601.9 550-850 192.6 0-150
Soybeans 19.2 -100-100 400.7 175-350
Wheat 438 50-250 359.9 225-375

 

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